6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 10 · Thu, 13 Dec 2012

Union Olimpija Ljubljana at Real Madrid

60–91Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *2614162110+165-82-52-2
Carlos Suarez *235640023+202-21-10-0
Nikola Mirotic *2011221212+143-60-15-6
Rudy Fernandez *124020112+101-20-12-2
Rafael Hettsheimeir *84200015+72-20-00-0
Jaycee Carroll2417700000+206-123-52-2
Dontaye Draper248412021+212-72-32-2
Mirza Begic1811410101+264-50-03-4
Felipe Reyes146410000+193-60-00-0
Sergio Rodriguez125133002+61-31-32-2
Marcus Slaughter112110010+41-10-00-1
Guillermo Hernangomez94300013−82-70-00-0
Team200913521851019+3132-619-1918-21

Union Olimpija Ljubljana

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jaka Blazic *269300011−342-121-74-4
Sasu Salin *250134022−50-20-20-0
Luka Rupnik *257031002−253-71-20-0
Aron Baynes *2313811023−236-100-01-2
Drazen Bubnic *142010025−231-20-10-0
Klemen Prepelic294341021−231-61-61-2
Dino Muric1911400000−45-100-11-2
Alen Omic179600032−83-70-03-4
Jan Mocnik153000023−61-21-20-0
Emir Sulejmanovic72200002−41-10-00-0
Team200602712701421−3123-594-2110-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 07:42Two-point make, Real Madrid+3.4 pp for Real Madrid4–6
  2. Q1 07:05Two-point make, Union Olimpija Ljubljana+3.4 pp for Union Olimpija Ljubljana6–6
  3. Q1 06:52Free throw, Real Madrid+3.4 pp for Real Madrid6–7
  4. Q1 01:31Three-point make, Real Madrid+3.0 pp for Real Madrid12–20
  5. Q1 04:09Two-point make, Real Madrid+2.4 pp for Real Madrid7–13

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridUnion Olimpija Ljubljana
Dominance+0.93−0.93
Control100%0%
Drama0.180.18
Comeback16%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +15 Q4 07:55 to Q4 03:11 50–72 to 50–87
  2. +8 Q2 03:35 to Q2 01:58 23–40 to 23–48
  3. +7 Q2 09:05 to Q2 08:26 15–22 to 15–29

Union Olimpija Ljubljana

  1. +8 Q3 02:37 to Q3 00:40 35–66 to 43–66
  2. +8 Q4 03:05 to Q4 01:35 50–87 to 58–87
  3. +4 Q2 01:32 to Q2 00:51 23–48 to 27–48