6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Wed, 7 Dec 2011

Zagreb at CSKA Moscow

74–87Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jamont Gordon *3018231014+138-122-50-0
Ramunas Siskauskas *2611200020−44-63-30-0
Viktor Khryapa *192420004−91-30-10-2
Nenad Krstic *1814900020+45-90-04-4
Milos Teodosic *143131013−61-20-11-2
Darjus Lavrinovic205810002+202-61-30-0
Eugeny Voronov202050012+101-40-20-0
Sammy Mejia1813322020+176-90-11-1
Andrey Vorontsevich1210210020+115-50-00-0
Dmitry Sokolov105500020+62-30-01-2
Anton Ponkrashov72220001+80-40-22-2
Nikita Kurbanov72201003−51-20-00-0
Team200874019501319+1336-656-189-13

Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sean Gregory May *3613310011−86-131-60-1
Krunoslav Simon *3221152042−56-122-67-7
Petar Babic *268122014−173-52-30-1
Damir Rancic *252430001+71-50-10-0
Papa Dia *154000000+22-20-00-0
Josh Heytvelt2919510104−186-93-44-5
Saso Ozbolt212111022−91-50-40-0
Ante Masic165000022−151-31-32-2
Miralem Halilovic00000000−20-00-00-0
Team200741513511016−1326-549-2713-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 00:02Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+10.4 pp for CSKA Moscow58–60
  2. Q4 07:43Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+8.6 pp for CSKA Moscow60–65
  3. Q3 00:20Two-point make, Zagreb+8.0 pp for Zagreb58–57
  4. Q3 00:54Three-point make, Zagreb+7.9 pp for Zagreb56–57
  5. Q4 08:58Two-point make, Zagreb+6.7 pp for Zagreb60–60

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowZagreb
Dominance+0.72−0.72
Control100%0%
Drama0.740.74
Comeback30%100%
Crunch0.070.07

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +7 Q2 06:50 to Q2 04:43 29–28 to 29–35
  2. +7 Q2 00:57 to Q3 08:57 34–39 to 34–46
  3. +7 Q4 08:42 to Q4 07:20 60–60 to 60–67

Zagreb

  1. +7 Q3 02:06 to Q3 01:23 46–55 to 53–55
  2. +6 Q1 09:15 to Q1 08:37 0–0 to 6–0
  3. +6 Q4 01:01 to Q4 00:40 68–85 to 74–85