6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 7 · Thu, 1 Dec 2011

Real Madrid at Armani Olimpia Milan

72–65Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Stefano Mancinelli *3512220004−105-91-41-1
Drew Nicholas *3311331031−104-172-101-2
Omar Cook *318102043−83-72-30-0
Ioannis Bourousis *2310902011−105-90-20-0
Antonis Fotsis *110100010−40-00-00-0
Malik Hairston258420125+82-71-23-4
Danilo Gallinari2513620112−22-91-78-12
Jacopo Giachetti93000004−11-31-20-0
Mason Rocca80200001+20-00-00-0
Team20065289521221−722-618-3013-19

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3113333023+64-131-74-4
Carlos Suarez *263212014+71-31-30-0
Nikola Mirotic *26111020011+95-91-40-0
Ante Tomic *1910510121+35-80-00-0
Sergio Llull *160120022+60-10-10-0
Sergio Rodriguez2419420041+15-73-46-6
Serge Ibaka217600224+42-50-03-4
Jaycee Carroll219300002+54-111-10-0
Felipe Reyes140300003−20-10-00-0
Martynas Pocius10000000−40-00-00-0
Team200723711531421+726-587-2013-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+14.3 pp for Real Madrid70–65
  2. Q4 04:44Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+13.3 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan62–59
  3. Q4 02:21Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.7 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan67–63
  4. Q3 04:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.9 pp for Real Madrid45–40
  5. Q4 08:40Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+8.3 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan55–50

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanReal Madrid
Dominance−0.46+0.46
Control0%95%
Drama2.092.09
Comeback100%43%
Crunch0.900.90

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +7 Q1 03:34 to Q1 02:22 14–6 to 14–13
  2. +7 Q2 09:13 to Q2 06:49 22–15 to 22–22
  3. +6 Q3 07:31 to Q3 06:38 40–32 to 40–38

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q1 09:46 to Q1 06:13 0–0 to 9–0
  2. +8 Q2 06:17 to Q2 05:00 22–22 to 30–22
  3. +6 Q1 01:33 to Q1 00:18 14–13 to 20–13