6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 5 · Wed, 16 Nov 2011

Zalgiris Kaunas at Zagreb

78–80Final, away–home

Box score

Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Krunoslav Simon *3822431042+58-133-63-3
Damir Mulaomerovic *3410031041−113-91-43-4
Sean Gregory May *2610711135−54-91-21-1
Mario Kasun *2211522024−85-80-01-2
Ante Masic *92300011−111-10-00-0
Damir Rancic276232012+82-82-70-0
Josh Heytvelt25171101034+56-92-53-3
Papa Dia80000012+120-00-00-0
Saso Ozbolt62001011+21-10-00-0
Petar Babic60000002+130-00-00-0
Team200803212912024+230-589-2411-13

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sonny Weems *325210022+131-80-23-4
Paulius Jankunas *28241102001+116-90-112-16
Robertas Javtokas *246701034−93-70-00-0
Mantas Kalnietis *238120031+73-110-42-2
Vytenis Lipkevicius *18014401300-10-00-0
Marko Popovic2011211042−154-83-70-0
Ty Lawson174120003−122-50-00-0
Milovan Rakovic1610301014+75-90-00-0
Tadas Klimavicius122200000−131-20-00-0
Tomas Delininkaitis108001001+13-52-30-0
Team2007830101001421−228-655-1717-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:44Two-point make, Zagreb+29.0 pp for Zagreb77–78
  2. Q4 01:05Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+28.0 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas77–76
  3. Q4 01:34Two-point make, Zagreb+22.1 pp for Zagreb75–75
  4. Q4 03:59Three-point make, Zagreb+21.1 pp for Zagreb71–71
  5. Q4 00:27Free throw, Zalgiris Kaunas+16.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas78–78

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZagrebZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.26−0.26
Control60%3%
Drama3.053.05
Comeback63%87%
Crunch2.182.18

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zagreb

  1. +11 Q1 01:48 to Q2 06:49 20–16 to 20–27
  2. +7 Q2 06:15 to Q2 04:55 22–27 to 22–34
  3. +7 Q3 00:10 to Q4 08:53 60–54 to 60–61

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +11 Q2 02:10 to Q2 00:19 25–40 to 36–40
  2. +9 Q3 07:49 to Q3 05:16 36–42 to 45–42
  3. +5 Q1 02:33 to Q1 02:09 15–16 to 20–16