6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 2 · Thu, 27 Oct 2011

Armani Olimpia Milan at Real Madrid

78–85Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *2517441011+45-133-74-4
Mirza Begic *229710305+134-40-01-4
Nikola Mirotic *193200014+41-40-11-2
Sergio Rodriguez *174021032−42-40-00-0
Carlos Suarez *140212003−130-30-30-0
Sergio Llull2313140002+115-93-60-2
Felipe Reyes221711013+30-40-01-2
Martynas Pocius2211430022+143-71-34-4
Jaycee Carroll1921300001+97-114-43-4
Ante Tomic136300002+13-40-00-0
Serge Ibaka40100100−70-00-00-0
Team20085341654825+730-6311-2414-22

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Omar Cook *303651000−11-41-30-0
Drew Nicholas *2924112013−87-143-77-8
Danilo Gallinari *2712411034+33-71-35-7
Antonis Fotsis *172020001+31-40-20-0
Ioannis Bourousis *166501033+32-40-02-2
Malik Hairston2718100033−117-101-13-3
Stefano Mancinelli207310112−93-50-11-3
Leon Radosevic122000013−60-10-02-2
Mason Rocca114500012−22-60-00-0
Jacopo Giachetti100200001−70-30-20-0
Team200782710511322−726-586-1920-25

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 06:45Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+12.9 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan70–69
  2. Q4 04:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+12.4 pp for Real Madrid72–76
  3. Q4 05:18Two-point make, Real Madrid+12.2 pp for Real Madrid72–73
  4. Q4 05:38Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+12.1 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan72–71
  5. Q3 01:55Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.8 pp for Real Madrid57–58

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.43−0.43
Control85%0%
Drama2.052.05
Comeback58%100%
Crunch0.420.42

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q3 03:57 to Q3 01:55 57–49 to 57–58
  2. +8 Q3 06:06 to Q3 04:50 53–40 to 53–48
  3. +7 Q1 08:46 to Q1 06:52 2–0 to 2–7

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +13 Q3 07:24 to Q3 06:29 40–40 to 53–40
  2. +8 Q2 02:59 to Q2 01:02 31–33 to 39–33
  3. +7 Q1 05:36 to Q1 04:34 4–8 to 11–8