6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 1 Mar 2012

Real Madrid at Montepaschi Siena

102–90Final, away–home

Box score

Montepaschi Siena

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Bo McCalebb *2815230011−55-112-43-4
Shaun Stonerook *254241014−60-00-04-6
David Andersen *2311100005−54-90-23-5
Bootsy Thornton *177220004−13-61-20-2
Marco Carraretto *9320000101-41-30-0
David Moss3314332013−135-111-43-4
Ksistof Lavrinovic178210021−71-21-15-6
Nikos Zisis172230014−111-20-00-0
Igor Rakocevic1611220022−63-72-43-3
Tomas Ress1515010203−65-75-60-0
Team20090181932828−1228-5913-2621-30

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Mirotic *2114321132+24-61-35-5
Sergio Llull *205030012+42-41-20-0
Kyle Singler *198620133+64-70-10-2
Carlos Suarez *1910410111+23-60-24-6
Mirza Begic *147610212+103-40-01-2
Martynas Pocius2315420002+95-111-44-4
Felipe Reyes22171420014+114-80-09-10
Sergio Rodriguez207351012+83-51-20-0
Jaycee Carroll197310004+73-51-20-0
Novica Velickovic132130103+91-20-10-2
Ante Tomic1010100001−84-50-02-2
Team2001024522261126+1236-635-1725-33

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 04:29Three-point make, Montepaschi Siena+16.0 pp for Montepaschi Siena89–84
  2. Q4 07:58Three-point make, Real Madrid+14.3 pp for Real Madrid83–77
  3. Q4 02:31Two-point make, Montepaschi Siena+12.2 pp for Montepaschi Siena93–88
  4. Q3 00:50Three-point make, Montepaschi Siena+12.2 pp for Montepaschi Siena71–73
  5. Q4 04:10Two-point make, Real Madrid+11.9 pp for Real Madrid91–84

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartMontepaschi SienaReal Madrid
Dominance+0.20−0.20
Control73%20%
Drama1.501.50
Comeback100%84%
Crunch0.960.96

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Montepaschi Siena

  1. +6 Q1 00:31 to Q2 09:43 26–25 to 26–31
  2. +5 Q1 05:26 to Q1 05:18 13–11 to 13–16
  3. +5 Q2 06:12 to Q2 05:50 38–39 to 38–44

Real Madrid

  1. +11 Q4 09:23 to Q4 05:57 76–77 to 87–77
  2. +9 Q4 02:23 to Q4 00:27 93–88 to 102–88
  3. +6 Q3 06:26 to Q3 05:24 56–56 to 62–56