6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Wed, 8 Feb 2012

Real Madrid at Gescrap Bilbao Basket

69–93Final, away–home

Box score

Gescrap Bilbao Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Kostas Vasiliadis *3019100003+296-75-62-4
Aaron Jackson *29152101014+255-70-15-5
D'Or Fischer *2611911254+314-50-03-6
Alex Mumbru *2516241114+156-82-42-2
Axel Hervelle *1810131243+155-60-10-0
Marko Banic246220002+73-90-10-0
Roger Grimau155411034+92-50-11-1
Dimitrios Mavroeidis136720101−52-30-02-3
Raul Lopez115001010−12-31-20-0
Janis Blums100000011−50-00-00-0
Josh Fisher0000000000-00-00-0
Team200932823661626+2435-538-1615-21

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *264031005−272-80-30-0
Mirza Begic *2261000133−173-60-00-0
Nikola Mirotic *2118400024−184-101-29-9
Martynas Pocius *131001002−200-30-11-2
Carlos Suarez *80100012−80-10-10-0
Kyle Singler2881111045−63-101-31-2
Jaycee Carroll268110111−113-112-70-0
Novica Velickovic2217322013−16-133-62-4
Sergio Rodriguez215151021−32-71-20-0
Felipe Reyes142500012−91-60-00-2
Team200693612621528−2424-758-2513-19

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 06:11Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.3 pp for Real Madrid6–14
  2. Q1 07:58Three-point make, Gescrap Bilbao Basket+6.2 pp for Gescrap Bilbao Basket0–8
  3. Q1 05:25Three-point make, Gescrap Bilbao Basket+5.2 pp for Gescrap Bilbao Basket8–17
  4. Q1 09:09Three-point make, Gescrap Bilbao Basket+5.0 pp for Gescrap Bilbao Basket0–3
  5. Q1 00:04Three-point make, Gescrap Bilbao Basket+4.3 pp for Gescrap Bilbao Basket14–34

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartGescrap Bilbao BasketReal Madrid
Dominance+0.78−0.78
Control95%0%
Drama0.630.63
Comeback46%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Gescrap Bilbao Basket

  1. +11 Q1 05:25 to Q1 03:35 8–14 to 8–25
  2. +10 Q1 09:09 to Q1 07:26 0–0 to 0–10
  3. +7 Q3 06:00 to Q3 04:20 37–61 to 37–68

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 01:49 to Q3 00:17 43–70 to 51–70
  2. +5 Q1 06:11 to Q1 05:52 3–14 to 8–14
  3. +4 Q2 06:36 to Q2 05:51 17–38 to 21–38