6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Wed, 1 Feb 2012

Gescrap Bilbao Basket at Real Madrid

73–89Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Kyle Singler *2810411014+164-51-11-2
Ante Tomic *2515710024+165-80-05-6
Nikola Mirotic *235611103+161-50-03-4
Sergio Rodriguez *2320170034+206-63-35-6
Carlos Suarez *182211101+21-60-20-0
Sergio Llull258360011+83-82-30-0
Felipe Reyes17251101100-50-02-2
Jaycee Carroll1711100012+65-81-30-0
Mirza Begic1412500101+45-70-02-2
Martynas Pocius114100014−42-30-10-0
Novica Velickovic10000000−40-00-00-0
Team200893518431025+1632-617-1318-22

Gescrap Bilbao Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Alex Mumbru *2817431043−165-122-55-8
Roger Grimau *262200101−151-60-20-0
Marko Banic *2418600003−18-100-02-4
D'Or Fischer *226610324−23-30-00-0
Aaron Jackson *212001003−71-40-20-0
Kostas Vasiliadis2613111003−13-81-56-8
Raul Lopez195121002−92-91-60-0
Dimitrios Mavroeidis158211013−103-70-02-2
Axel Hervelle132301012−141-30-00-0
Josh Fisher60100000−50-20-10-0
Team2007326864824−1627-644-2115-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 06:49Two-point make, Gescrap Bilbao Basket+6.7 pp for Gescrap Bilbao Basket65–69
  2. Q4 07:22Three-point make, Gescrap Bilbao Basket+5.5 pp for Gescrap Bilbao Basket63–69
  3. Q1 08:41Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.2 pp for Real Madrid2–3
  4. Q1 00:28Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.1 pp for Real Madrid14–26
  5. Q4 05:59Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.8 pp for Real Madrid65–74

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridGescrap Bilbao Basket
Dominance+0.81−0.81
Control100%0%
Drama0.800.80
Comeback31%100%
Crunch0.010.01

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q4 06:36 to Q4 05:11 65–69 to 65–78
  2. +6 Q4 04:00 to Q4 02:06 68–80 to 68–86
  3. +5 Q1 08:41 to Q1 08:17 2–0 to 2–5

Gescrap Bilbao Basket

  1. +12 Q3 00:07 to Q4 06:49 53–69 to 65–69
  2. +6 Q2 00:43 to Q3 09:25 32–50 to 38–50
  3. +6 Q3 08:41 to Q3 07:31 38–53 to 44–53