6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Wed, 25 Jan 2012

Montepaschi Siena at Real Madrid

88–69Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jaycee Carroll *2712500013−145-131-41-3
Sergio Llull *268320013−22-40-14-6
Kyle Singler *192310102−51-50-20-0
Ante Tomic *184610013−131-70-02-4
Nikola Mirotic *167000222−172-31-22-2
Felipe Reyes28171511114−56-120-05-6
Sergio Rodriguez213100012−110-60-43-4
Martynas Pocius219200031−123-71-22-2
Mirza Begic154300300−12-30-00-0
Carlos Suarez113000000−151-41-40-0
Team20069385171020−1923-644-1919-27

Montepaschi Siena

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Bo McCalebb *3125361013+2010-121-24-4
David Moss *3010401013+243-72-32-2
Bootsy Thornton *228440002+233-40-12-2
David Andersen *2011721002+74-111-32-2
Andrea Michelori *92000001+41-20-00-0
Ksistof Lavrinovic2216101111+85-104-62-2
Shaun Stonerook212411105+100-10-02-2
Igor Rakocevic209531012−74-111-40-0
Nikos Zisis143130002+81-21-10-0
Tomas Ress72100012+51-10-00-0
Pietro Aradori50000001−70-00-00-0
Team20088301962524+1932-6110-2014-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 02:56Three-point make, Montepaschi Siena+7.8 pp for Montepaschi Siena23–11
  2. Q1 05:19Three-point make, Montepaschi Siena+7.8 pp for Montepaschi Siena14–8
  3. Q2 07:43Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.3 pp for Real Madrid36–20
  4. Q1 07:16Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.0 pp for Real Madrid6–8
  5. Q2 02:48Three-point make, Montepaschi Siena+6.2 pp for Montepaschi Siena45–26

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridMontepaschi Siena
Dominance−0.61+0.61
Control3%83%
Drama1.271.27
Comeback100%63%
Crunch0.040.04

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +10 Q4 09:25 to Q4 06:38 68–48 to 68–58
  2. +6 Q2 02:30 to Q2 01:20 45–26 to 45–32
  3. +4 Q2 04:32 to Q2 03:43 40–20 to 40–24

Montepaschi Siena

  1. +14 Q1 06:43 to Q1 03:46 6–8 to 20–8
  2. +9 Q3 08:43 to Q3 05:25 47–36 to 56–36
  3. +6 Q1 02:56 to Q1 02:23 20–11 to 26–11