6.75

2011-12 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 10 · Wed, 21 Dec 2011

Zagreb at Zalgiris Kaunas

76–87Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Paulius Jankunas *3012830001+184-82-22-2
Sonny Weems *2820411032+116-112-46-7
Mantas Kalnietis *259571013+153-101-42-2
Robertas Javtokas *2110320023+65-90-00-1
Vytenis Lipkevicius *93201013+61-21-10-0
Marko Popovic2417131011+26-115-90-0
Dejuan Collins157000013−22-31-22-2
Milovan Rakovic152202002+10-10-02-2
Mindaugas Kuzminskas100200000−50-00-00-0
Tadas Klimavicius105110011−72-41-20-0
Tomas Delininkaitis102032013+61-40-20-0
Povilas Butkevicius40101003+40-10-00-0
Team200872920901125+1130-6413-2614-16

Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sean Gregory May *3715631024−56-102-31-1
Mario Kasun *3720821041−69-120-02-4
Damir Rancic *3512142022−34-72-52-2
Petar Babic *2217120014−35-83-44-5
Krunoslav Simon *40010000−10-10-00-0
Ante Masic240511003+30-20-20-0
Damir Mulaomerovic1810141033−84-80-22-4
Saso Ozbolt172210020−210-30-12-2
Josh Heytvelt60000010−110-10-10-0
Team200762418601517−1128-527-1813-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 03:59Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+5.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas12–18
  2. Q2 09:49Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+5.6 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas18–31
  3. Q1 04:48Three-point make, Zagreb+5.5 pp for Zagreb12–13
  4. Q1 01:13Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+4.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas16–28
  5. Q1 05:52Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+4.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas9–11

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasZagreb
Dominance+0.80−0.80
Control98%0%
Drama0.790.79
Comeback43%100%
Crunch0.080.08

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +12 Q1 04:37 to Q1 02:07 12–13 to 12–25
  2. +8 Q1 07:02 to Q1 05:25 9–5 to 9–13
  3. +8 Q2 07:54 to Q2 05:43 20–33 to 20–41

Zagreb

  1. +8 Q4 04:08 to Q4 03:08 64–79 to 72–79
  2. +7 Q2 01:17 to Q3 09:46 24–46 to 31–46
  3. +6 Q3 05:23 to Q3 04:35 35–56 to 41–56