6.75

2010-11 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 1 · Mon, 18 Oct 2010

Real Madrid at Olympiacos Piraeus

66–82Final, away–home

Box score

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Milos Teodosic *3315270011+225-143-92-2
Vassilis Spanoulis *3116371032+104-91-47-10
Rasho Nesterovic *1711700012+15-70-01-1
Matt Nielsen *124300005+32-40-00-0
Kostas Papanikolaou *82200001−11-30-10-0
Ioannis Bourousis2216732233+156-81-23-3
Loukas Mavrokefalides199510002−24-91-10-0
Theodoros Papaloukas184042011−22-40-20-0
Marko Keselj173200111+71-41-30-0
Jamon Gordon122211002+121-10-00-0
Zoran Erceg100100002+150-10-10-0
Team200823423631022+1631-647-2313-16

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *3118330032−16-92-24-4
Sergio Rodriguez *276010024−223-140-10-0
Carlos Suarez *2712531003−163-42-24-6
Ante Tomic *2310600114−124-110-02-2
Felipe Reyes *219510022−62-71-34-4
D'Or Fischer234422211−61-30-02-2
Clay Tucker215410021−32-61-40-0
Sergi Vidal142301010−61-30-10-0
Jorge Garbajosa80002100−90-10-10-0
Novica Velickovic40000010+10-10-00-0
Team200663011641317−1622-596-1416-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 01:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.8 pp for Real Madrid56–57
  2. Q3 08:00Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+9.5 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus39–44
  3. Q3 01:00Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+9.1 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus56–62
  4. Q3 10:00Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+8.6 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus35–39
  5. Q3 01:00Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+8.6 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus56–59

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartOlympiacos PiraeusReal Madrid
Dominance+0.48−0.48
Control80%0%
Drama1.511.51
Comeback53%100%
Crunch0.020.02

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +15 Q3 01:00 to Q4 08:00 56–57 to 56–72
  2. +11 Q2 06:00 to Q2 03:00 30–21 to 30–32
  3. +5 Q1 03:00 to Q1 02:00 13–10 to 13–15

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q2 09:00 to Q2 07:00 19–19 to 28–19
  2. +6 Q4 07:00 to Q4 06:00 56–72 to 62–72
  3. +4 Q1 05:00 to Q1 04:00 9–10 to 13–10