6.75

2010-11 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Thu, 7 Apr 2011

Valencia Basket at Real Madrid

58–66Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Carlos Suarez *35121010001+73-122-94-4
Pablo Prigioni *296443024+12-51-31-2
Sergio Llull *299221022+74-121-40-0
Ante Tomic *289931124+104-110-01-2
Felipe Reyes *2271010014−32-80-13-3
Clay Tucker2612310202+94-123-61-2
Nikola Mirotic187112021+113-41-20-0
D'Or Fischer124410213−22-40-00-0
Team200664314751021+824-688-2510-13

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Dusko Savanovic *3419601210−17-121-54-4
Omar Cook *340332021−110-40-30-0
Rafa Martinez *291641302206-123-51-2
Robertas Javtokas *223400114−31-20-01-2
Florent Pietrus *170300112−50-10-10-0
Jeremy Richardson226500022−102-72-50-0
Nando De Colo216410015−31-81-33-4
Serhiy Lishchuk176300013−62-60-02-4
David Navarro52010011−11-10-00-0
Team20058326641220−820-537-2211-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 10:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.6 pp for Real Madrid42–43
  2. Q2 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.1 pp for Real Madrid38–37
  3. Q2 02:00Three-point make, Valencia Basket+8.1 pp for Valencia Basket41–37
  4. Q2 01:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.9 pp for Real Madrid42–40
  5. Q2 10:00Three-point make, Valencia Basket+7.0 pp for Valencia Basket20–13

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridValencia Basket
Dominance+0.49−0.49
Control83%0%
Drama1.451.45
Comeback50%100%
Crunch0.100.10

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +6 Q2 08:00 to Q2 08:00 23–13 to 23–19
  2. +6 Q2 01:00 to Q3 10:00 42–37 to 42–43
  3. +6 Q3 02:00 to Q4 10:00 51–54 to 51–60

Valencia Basket

  1. +7 Q1 08:00 to Q1 06:00 4–2 to 11–2
  2. +6 Q2 10:00 to Q2 09:00 17–13 to 23–13
  3. +4 Q1 10:00 to Q1 09:00 0–0 to 4–0