6.75

2010-11 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Thu, 31 Mar 2011

Real Madrid at Valencia Basket

72–81Final, away–home

Box score

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Dusko Savanovic *3512212022+74-101-63-4
Omar Cook *3216175022+66-102-42-2
Robertas Javtokas *2812702112+135-80-02-7
Rafa Martinez *2710330001−23-52-42-2
Florent Pietrus *176200013+121-20-04-4
Nando De Colo2512452010+183-60-26-6
Jeremy Richardson237300024−43-71-20-0
Serhiy Lishchuk136400011−52-40-02-3
Team2008126161111015+927-526-1821-28

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *319210024+13-102-51-2
Pablo Prigioni *3111363030+14-73-60-0
Felipe Reyes *286410033−73-50-00-0
Ante Tomic *2320320043+97-100-06-7
Carlos Suarez *16311001301-31-30-0
Clay Tucker2914431001−185-132-72-2
D'Or Fischer182400114−181-20-00-0
Novica Velickovic164511033−202-40-10-0
Nikola Mirotic83110000+81-31-10-0
Sergi Vidal10000000−10-00-00-0
Team201722716511721−927-579-239-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 01:00Three-point make, Valencia Basket+12.0 pp for Valencia Basket55–59
  2. Q2 01:00Three-point make, Valencia Basket+10.2 pp for Valencia Basket38–40
  3. Q4 05:00Two-point make, Valencia Basket+9.5 pp for Valencia Basket66–74
  4. Q3 05:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.9 pp for Real Madrid53–47
  5. Q4 07:00Two-point make, Valencia Basket+8.1 pp for Valencia Basket60–69

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartValencia BasketReal Madrid
Dominance+0.12−0.12
Control30%23%
Drama1.821.82
Comeback74%100%
Crunch0.430.43

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Valencia Basket

  1. +14 Q3 03:00 to Q4 10:00 55–49 to 55–63
  2. +6 Q1 03:00 to Q1 01:00 14–11 to 14–17
  3. +6 Q2 02:00 to Q2 02:00 36–31 to 36–37

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 10:00 to Q3 08:00 38–40 to 46–40
  2. +6 Q2 05:00 to Q2 04:00 27–29 to 33–29
  3. +4 Q1 04:00 to Q1 03:00 10–11 to 14–11