6.75

2010-11 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Thu, 24 Mar 2011

Valencia Basket at Real Madrid

81–75Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Pablo Prigioni *376372004−12-82-70-0
Sergio Llull *3218350043+14-122-98-10
Carlos Suarez *21522201202-41-20-0
Ante Tomic *196611012+52-70-02-2
Felipe Reyes *168210013−24-60-00-0
Clay Tucker249030011−94-71-20-0
D'Or Fischer216200014−113-30-00-0
Nikola Mirotic167700113−13-70-01-2
Novica Velickovic107300001−43-61-10-0
Sergi Vidal53000010−81-11-10-0
Team200752819511123−628-618-2211-14

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Robertas Javtokas *344811022+61-40-12-4
Omar Cook *3420061002+27-95-51-2
Rafa Martinez *2912202020+24-71-33-3
Jeremy Richardson *2915400101+136-113-40-0
Serhiy Lishchuk *165310114−12-60-01-2
Dusko Savanovic30141010023+76-122-50-2
Nando De Colo209213033+33-71-32-2
Florent Pietrus52100000−10-10-12-2
David Navarro30000010−10-00-00-0
Team200813010721115+629-5712-2211-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Valencia Basket+41.1 pp for Valencia Basket78–74
  2. Q4 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+20.5 pp for Real Madrid71–72
  3. Q4 02:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+18.6 pp for Real Madrid75–74
  4. Q4 05:00Three-point make, Valencia Basket+17.1 pp for Valencia Basket69–66
  5. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Valencia Basket+16.3 pp for Valencia Basket75–72

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridValencia Basket
Dominance+0.43−0.43
Control88%5%
Drama2.832.83
Comeback97%89%
Crunch1.831.83

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q2 01:00 to Q3 10:00 35–35 to 35–43
  2. +7 Q4 10:00 to Q4 08:00 59–54 to 59–61
  3. +6 Q1 05:00 to Q1 03:00 10–11 to 10–17

Valencia Basket

  1. +9 Q3 07:00 to Q3 05:00 40–45 to 49–45
  2. +6 Q1 02:00 to Q1 01:00 11–19 to 17–19
  3. +5 Q2 04:00 to Q2 03:00 25–33 to 30–33