6.75

2010-11 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Wed, 26 Jan 2011

Real Madrid at Montepaschi Siena

78–68Final, away–home

Box score

Montepaschi Siena

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Shaun Stonerook *335523023−102-50-11-3
Nikos Zisis *3314213012−154-111-25-5
David Moss *2816210002−96-92-42-2
Rimantas Kaukenas *278141003−103-130-52-2
Milovan Rakovic *162200103+51-30-00-0
Ksistof Lavrinovic194500012−111-70-42-2
Malik Hairston167201113−43-60-01-2
Jeleel Akindele126300002−41-10-04-6
Marco Carraretto86011000+32-20-02-2
Marko Jaric70010000+50-10-10-0
Team20068221092520−1023-583-1719-24

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Pablo Prigioni *322361032+20-20-22-2
Carlos Suarez *2815500014−26-93-50-0
Ante Tomic *244630221+132-60-00-0
Felipe Reyes *18111110034−64-111-22-2
Sergio Llull *1710200034+24-52-30-0
Clay Tucker3115320033+186-153-80-0
Nikola Mirotic1716411301+186-74-40-0
D'Or Fischer163520003−31-30-01-2
Novica Velickovic110200001+20-00-00-0
Sergio Rodriguez52010000+60-10-02-2
Team200784116251523+1029-5913-247-8

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+20.8 pp for Real Madrid70–64
  2. Q4 05:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+16.9 pp for Real Madrid67–64
  3. Q4 06:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+12.1 pp for Real Madrid64–64
  4. Q4 07:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.8 pp for Real Madrid60–64
  5. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.6 pp for Real Madrid75–66

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartMontepaschi SienaReal Madrid
Dominance+0.48−0.48
Control85%13%
Drama1.801.80
Comeback100%96%
Crunch0.600.60

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Montepaschi Siena

  1. +9 Q1 07:00 to Q1 06:00 6–3 to 6–12
  2. +8 Q2 10:00 to Q2 08:00 13–20 to 13–28
  3. +6 Q3 09:00 to Q3 08:00 32–43 to 32–49

Real Madrid

  1. +15 Q4 07:00 to Q4 03:00 57–64 to 72–64
  2. +7 Q3 05:00 to Q3 04:00 37–55 to 44–55
  3. +6 Q4 02:00 to Q4 01:00 72–66 to 78–66