6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Thu, 17 Dec 2009

Real Madrid at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

76–67Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Drew Nicholas *3412152022−63-102-74-7
Vassilis Spanoulis *326232023−72-71-41-1
Stratos Perperoglou *298141033−32-52-42-2
Antonis Fotsis *2491001132−153-41-22-2
Nikola Pekovic *2310210024+54-90-02-4
Mike Batiste1710501002−123-50-14-6
Nick Calathes1610312021+104-62-40-0
Milenko Tepic152311030−120-20-22-2
Kostas Tsartsaris80000010−50-00-00-0
Team2006727151011817−921-488-2417-24

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Novica Velickovic *3011422032+74-90-13-4
Pablo Prigioni *3011131033+43-51-24-4
Jorge Garbajosa *2813512011+115-81-22-2
Darjus Lavrinovic *288813222+103-90-02-2
Louis Bullock *2815421023+54-103-84-4
Rimantas Kaukenas2512030044−35-62-30-0
Felipe Reyes144401012+102-60-00-0
Travis Hansen110301001+10-30-20-0
Tomas Van Den Spiegel5200101301-10-00-0
Sergi Vidal2000001000-00-00-0
Team2007629121221821+927-577-1815-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 03:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.4 pp for Real Madrid58–43
  2. Q3 04:00Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+9.0 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens50–38
  3. Q3 08:00Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+8.9 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens39–32
  4. Q3 08:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.9 pp for Real Madrid42–32
  5. Q2 08:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.4 pp for Real Madrid27–11

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensReal Madrid
Dominance−0.46+0.46
Control5%80%
Drama1.411.41
Comeback100%65%
Crunch0.060.06

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +12 Q4 05:00 to Q4 02:00 70–49 to 70–61
  2. +8 Q2 02:00 to Q3 08:00 39–24 to 39–32
  3. +5 Q2 07:00 to Q2 07:00 29–13 to 29–18

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q3 08:00 to Q3 06:00 39–32 to 48–32
  2. +8 Q1 08:00 to Q1 05:00 4–2 to 12–2
  3. +6 Q1 04:00 to Q1 03:00 16–6 to 22–6