6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Wed, 16 Dec 2009

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul at Cibona Zagreb

77–80Final, away–home

Box score

Cibona Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marko Tomas *3428211033−18-176-106-6
Marin Rozic *3211333014+155-110-21-1
Vedran Princ *296330001+63-50-20-0
Luksa Andric *2516622113+47-131-11-2
Vedran Vukusic *243521014+101-61-50-0
Bojan Bogdanovic2710501014−153-72-32-2
Leon Radosevic116211021+42-30-02-2
Robert Troha90200011+80-10-00-0
Dalibor Bagaric40100011−50-10-00-0
Jamont Gordon30000000−70-10-10-0
Tomislav Zubcic20000000−40-00-00-0
Team200802912911122+329-6510-2412-13

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Damir Mrsic *371221032−80-40-41-1
Tarence Kinsey *3321232035+129-121-22-3
Semih Erden *2613800321−95-80-03-4
Serhat Cetin *197000021−52-41-32-2
Rasim Basak *40300012−10-10-10-0
Emir Preldzic3618622021−27-143-81-4
Gordan Giricek3215400012−83-81-48-10
Oguz Savas142410103+61-30-00-0
Team20077298541417−327-546-2217-24

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 06:00Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+15.6 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul68–65
  2. Q4 06:00Three-point make, Cibona Zagreb+15.6 pp for Cibona Zagreb68–68
  3. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+14.0 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul72–74
  4. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Cibona Zagreb+14.0 pp for Cibona Zagreb72–76
  5. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+14.0 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul74–76

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCibona ZagrebFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul
Dominance−0.08+0.08
Control25%43%
Drama2.102.10
Comeback80%90%
Crunch1.581.58

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Cibona Zagreb

  1. +12 Q3 03:00 to Q4 10:00 58–48 to 58–60
  2. +7 Q2 06:00 to Q2 04:00 30–12 to 30–19
  3. +7 Q4 06:00 to Q4 04:00 68–65 to 68–72

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

  1. +10 Q2 10:00 to Q2 07:00 20–12 to 30–12
  2. +7 Q1 02:00 to Q1 01:00 13–10 to 20–10
  3. +5 Q1 04:00 to Q1 03:00 8–8 to 13–8