6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 5 · Thu, 26 Nov 2009

Armani Olimpia Milan at Real Madrid

69–82Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Pablo Prigioni *3410032112+233-53-51-2
Jorge Garbajosa *329710002+154-61-10-0
Louis Bullock *199220023+52-41-34-4
Travis Hansen *1811301030−14-73-40-0
Darjus Lavrinovic *180320242−60-30-00-0
Novica Velickovic2621700013+188-110-05-8
Rimantas Kaukenas2614241013+87-130-20-0
Sergio Llull218242004+83-51-11-1
Felipe Reyes50200011−10-10-00-0
Vladimir Dasic20000001−40-10-00-0
Team200822816631321+1331-569-1611-15

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Morris Finley *358215050−173-90-52-2
Marco Mordente *317341033−91-61-24-4
Mason Rocca *287601011−242-80-03-4
Jonas Maciulis *2720400013−37-113-73-3
Stefano Mancinelli *2416311014−117-101-21-1
Mike Hall276610022−82-62-50-0
Massimo Bulleri16500001402-71-30-1
Joey Beard100100001+100-00-00-0
Jeffrey Viggiano30010003−30-00-00-0
Team20069258801421−1324-578-2413-15

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 07:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+14.0 pp for Real Madrid67–67
  2. Q4 08:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+13.3 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan67–60
  3. Q4 08:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+12.8 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan64–58
  4. Q4 10:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.7 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan61–58
  5. Q4 07:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+10.2 pp for Real Madrid67–62

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.48−0.48
Control88%0%
Drama1.941.94
Comeback54%100%
Crunch0.080.08

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +20 Q4 07:00 to Q4 02:00 67–60 to 67–80
  2. +12 Q3 09:00 to Q3 05:00 49–36 to 49–48
  3. +7 Q3 04:00 to Q3 02:00 53–48 to 53–55

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +9 Q2 10:00 to Q2 08:00 22–21 to 31–21
  2. +6 Q1 03:00 to Q1 01:00 16–16 to 22–16
  3. +6 Q4 10:00 to Q4 08:00 58–58 to 64–58