6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 5 · Wed, 25 Nov 2009

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul at Zalgiris Kaunas

84–78Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mantas Kalnietis *374262042−61-50-32-2
Marcus Brown *3416101023−105-114-62-2
Dainius Salenga *3217300032+76-130-25-7
Travis Watson *2712911025+46-130-00-0
Mirza Begic *258610112−103-30-02-2
Martynas Pocius2619711133−137-92-23-4
Tadas Klimavicius112200113−11-30-20-0
Povilas Cukinas50101012−10-20-00-0
Arturas Milaknis4000000000-00-00-0
Team20078319631722−629-596-1514-17

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Omer Onan *2713002002−25-72-21-2
Damir Mrsic *2716150010+46-84-60-0
Omer Asik *2010400224−33-30-04-6
Tarence Kinsey *122101003−11-20-10-0
Rasim Basak *60000000−70-20-20-0
Gordan Giricek2912511014+124-121-63-4
Semih Erden2112601234+115-70-02-4
Emir Preldzic2110333013+74-61-21-2
Lynn Greer187053010+52-80-23-4
Oguz Savas172300111+41-40-10-0
Team2008423141151021+631-598-2214-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+14.3 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul73–69
  2. Q4 04:00Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+14.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas69–69
  3. Q4 04:00Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+14.3 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul71–69
  4. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+13.1 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul84–78
  5. Q4 05:00Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+12.6 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas67–67

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul
Dominance+0.08−0.08
Control55%18%
Drama1.711.71
Comeback99%72%
Crunch1.441.44

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +6 Q1 06:00 to Q1 05:00 13–14 to 13–20
  2. +5 Q1 09:00 to Q1 08:00 7–2 to 7–7
  3. +5 Q2 10:00 to Q2 09:00 23–24 to 23–29

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

  1. +7 Q4 04:00 to Q4 02:00 69–69 to 76–69
  2. +6 Q1 03:00 to Q1 02:00 14–22 to 20–22
  3. +6 Q3 05:00 to Q3 04:00 45–49 to 51–49