6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Thu, 12 Nov 2009

Khimki Moscow Region at Armani Olimpia Milan

72–68Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Morris Finley *3219231013+27-144-91-2
Alex Acker *264411022−52-70-20-0
Stefano Mancinelli *256421013+23-70-20-0
Jonas Maciulis *1511320035−23-52-43-4
Marius Petravicius *153400040−81-10-01-2
Marco Mordente2811110013+24-82-31-2
Mason Rocca243601022+31-10-01-2
Mike Hall182600111−71-60-30-0
Massimo Bulleri169200003−74-81-50-0
Team20068329411522−426-579-287-12

Khimki Moscow Region

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Kelly McCarty *3514400042+94-104-52-2
Robertas Javtokas *348410131+151-40-06-7
Keith Langford *3117530041+45-92-55-5
Carlos Cabezas *2812431021+43-63-43-4
Paulius Jankunas *140010003+30-40-20-0
Fedor Dmitriev229000004−53-53-50-0
Vitaly Fridzon157220012−12-41-22-2
Raul Lopez12332001201-31-20-0
Timofey Mozgov62200011−131-50-00-0
Petr Gubanov50110000+40-00-00-0
Team200722513111617+420-5014-2518-20

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+20.5 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan66–64
  2. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Khimki Moscow Region+20.5 pp for Khimki Moscow Region69–64
  3. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+20.5 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan69–67
  4. Q4 09:00Three-point make, Khimki Moscow Region+13.5 pp for Khimki Moscow Region56–50
  5. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+12.6 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan64–61

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanKhimki Moscow Region
Dominance−0.03+0.03
Control30%28%
Drama2.052.05
Comeback93%76%
Crunch1.501.50

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +10 Q2 10:00 to Q2 08:00 18–19 to 18–29
  2. +8 Q1 02:00 to Q1 01:00 14–11 to 14–19
  3. +6 Q3 09:00 to Q3 07:00 37–37 to 37–43

Khimki Moscow Region

  1. +10 Q4 10:00 to Q4 08:00 49–50 to 59–50
  2. +6 Q3 10:00 to Q3 09:00 31–37 to 37–37
  3. +5 Q2 07:00 to Q2 05:00 18–29 to 23–29