6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Wed, 11 Nov 2009

Real Madrid at EWE Baskets

104–61Final, away–home

Box score

EWE Baskets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rickey Paulding *3614220064−355-142-62-2
Jekel Foster *3316211023−405-114-72-4
Ruben Boumtje Boumtje *193212143−171-30-01-2
Daniel Hain *182200054−211-20-10-0
Jasmin Perkovic *166310003−162-31-21-2
Joshua Carter263310002−231-61-50-0
Milan Majstorovic264601013−260-70-34-4
Marko Scekic208620022−274-70-00-0
Acha Njei55000021−12-21-10-0
Marco Buljevic20000031−90-00-00-0
Team20061268412526−4321-559-2510-14

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jorge Garbajosa *216531001+242-40-12-4
Louis Bullock *2010320000+223-41-23-3
Pablo Prigioni *1910252000+204-41-11-2
Darjus Lavrinovic *1818030232+257-90-04-4
Travis Hansen *152110014+181-20-10-0
Novica Velickovic2813461122+255-61-12-2
Rimantas Kaukenas2113001012+236-80-01-1
Sergio Llull2114033001+235-60-04-4
Sergi Vidal177210002+152-31-22-2
Vladimir Dasic129510021+123-61-32-2
Ignacio De Miguel82112122+80-20-02-2
Team20010423261041117+4338-545-1123-26

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 01:00Three-point make, EWE Baskets+5.8 pp for EWE Baskets28–16
  2. Q2 07:00Three-point make, EWE Baskets+5.4 pp for EWE Baskets39–25
  3. Q1 10:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+5.2 pp for Real Madrid2–0
  4. Q1 10:00Three-point make, EWE Baskets+5.2 pp for EWE Baskets2–3
  5. Q1 07:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+4.9 pp for Real Madrid13–5

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartEWE BasketsReal Madrid
Dominance−0.80+0.80
Control0%95%
Drama0.640.64
Comeback100%48%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

EWE Baskets

  1. +7 Q4 02:00 to Q4 01:00 104–54 to 104–61
  2. +5 Q1 01:00 to Q2 10:00 28–13 to 28–18
  3. +4 Q3 01:00 to Q4 10:00 85–48 to 85–52

Real Madrid

  1. +17 Q4 08:00 to Q4 03:00 87–54 to 104–54
  2. +12 Q3 04:00 to Q3 01:00 73–48 to 85–48
  3. +7 Q1 08:00 to Q1 07:00 8–5 to 15–5