6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 3 · Thu, 5 Nov 2009

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens at Real Madrid

70–80Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Darjus Lavrinovic *2815502224+156-90-03-4
Pablo Prigioni *2611422012+14-63-50-0
Jorge Garbajosa *256311023+12-51-31-1
Travis Hansen *213211002+21-61-40-0
Louis Bullock *119010010−42-51-34-4
Rimantas Kaukenas3117330003+176-111-34-7
Novica Velickovic277142032+53-41-10-0
Sergio Llull2112441010+115-82-40-0
Sergi Vidal100001000+20-10-00-0
Team2008022161021016+1029-5510-2312-16

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Antonis Fotsis *318510011−23-42-30-0
Drew Nicholas *3016221023−96-94-60-0
Nikola Pekovic *3022702172−68-120-06-9
Vassilis Spanoulis *294163053−81-60-32-2
Stratos Perperoglou *120000001+30-20-10-0
Dimitris Diamantidis287120003−92-32-31-2
Milenko Tepic176400011−52-31-21-2
Giorgi Shermadini106200100−42-20-02-2
Nick Calathes101100001−30-10-11-2
Jurica Golemac40110001−70-20-20-0
Team200702412621616−1024-449-2113-19

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.4 pp for Real Madrid42–54
  2. Q3 05:00Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+9.0 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens42–48
  3. Q3 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.9 pp for Real Madrid42–51
  4. Q3 06:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.3 pp for Real Madrid37–46
  5. Q3 02:00Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+8.1 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens49–56

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens
Dominance+0.30−0.30
Control58%10%
Drama1.691.69
Comeback70%100%
Crunch0.220.22

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +20 Q2 10:00 to Q2 02:00 23–12 to 23–32
  2. +6 Q3 04:00 to Q3 04:00 42–48 to 42–54
  3. +5 Q3 08:00 to Q3 08:00 36–38 to 36–43

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +8 Q1 04:00 to Q1 03:00 11–9 to 19–9
  2. +5 Q1 06:00 to Q1 04:00 6–5 to 11–5
  3. +5 Q2 02:00 to Q2 01:00 23–32 to 28–32