6.75

2009-10 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 10 · Wed, 13 Jan 2010

Real Madrid at Armani Olimpia Milan

75–66Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marco Mordente *32622002302-70-22-2
Stefano Mancinelli *3218420004−99-150-40-0
Jeffrey Viggiano *301392222304-61-34-4
Massimo Bulleri *2911110043−54-122-81-1
Mason Rocca *246501025+83-50-00-0
Mike Hall267301044−151-31-24-5
Jonas Maciulis142100012−111-40-10-0
Marius Petravicius133420003−131-30-01-2
Team20066299421527−925-554-2012-14

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marko Jaric *3111422133−64-61-22-6
Darjus Lavrinovic *1910410010−31-20-08-13
Louis Bullock *120000001−110-30-20-0
Novica Velickovic *90110011−70-10-00-0
Travis Hansen *70100001−90-20-20-0
Felipe Reyes2810820024+183-60-04-4
Pablo Prigioni2511312000+104-91-52-2
Jorge Garbajosa247200013+102-71-52-2
Rimantas Kaukenas2312020012+235-72-20-0
Sergio Llull1111121011+83-53-52-2
Sergi Vidal113110000+121-21-20-0
Team200752512511016+923-509-2520-29

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 09:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.9 pp for Real Madrid57–52
  2. Q3 01:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.4 pp for Real Madrid54–52
  3. Q3 01:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.5 pp for Real Madrid51–51
  4. Q3 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.3 pp for Real Madrid46–49
  5. Q4 07:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+9.4 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan62–58

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanReal Madrid
Dominance−0.22+0.22
Control10%30%
Drama1.711.71
Comeback100%67%
Crunch0.220.22

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +11 Q1 10:00 to Q1 08:00 2–0 to 2–11
  2. +9 Q2 05:00 to Q2 03:00 29–30 to 29–39
  3. +5 Q2 10:00 to Q2 09:00 19–19 to 19–24

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 01:00 to Q4 09:00 51–52 to 59–52
  2. +7 Q3 06:00 to Q3 05:00 35–45 to 42–45
  3. +5 Q1 01:00 to Q2 10:00 14–19 to 19–19