6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Wed, 17 Dec 2008

Real Madrid at CSKA Moscow

82–78Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Trajan Langdon *3614710031−115-103-61-1
Viktor Khryapa *336642023−82-62-60-0
Terence Morris *2712620002+84-63-41-2
Nikos Zisis *206130002−42-62-30-0
Aleksey Savrasenko *2010010004−44-50-02-3
J.R. Holden2612150012+65-92-50-0
Zoran Planinic208100103−63-72-50-0
Erazem Lorbek1810400203+35-90-00-0
Andrey Vorontsevich10000010−40-00-00-0
Team20078261623720−430-5814-294-6

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Axel Hervelle *267700003+83-71-30-0
Raul Lopez *246251001+32-22-20-0
Louis Bullock *2013020003−55-73-50-0
Quinton Hosley *143300010−81-71-20-0
Venson Hamilton *4030001000-10-00-0
Alex Mumbru2714541011+94-83-43-4
Felipe Reyes2419600002+65-100-09-10
Jeremiah Massey231230100105-80-12-4
Marko Tomas206001001+92-52-40-0
Sergio Llull162000013−20-00-02-2
Team20082291140415+427-5512-2116-20

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:00Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+28.9 pp for CSKA Moscow74–72
  2. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+28.9 pp for Real Madrid77–72
  3. Q4 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+20.0 pp for Real Madrid72–69
  4. Q4 04:00Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+13.9 pp for CSKA Moscow69–69
  5. Q4 01:00Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+13.2 pp for CSKA Moscow82–78

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Dominance+0.46−0.46
Control85%8%
Drama2.052.05
Comeback97%93%
Crunch1.581.58

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +8 Q3 08:00 to Q3 07:00 46–45 to 46–53
  2. +7 Q2 09:00 to Q2 08:00 23–25 to 23–32
  3. +5 Q1 10:00 to Q1 09:00 0–0 to 0–5

Real Madrid

  1. +10 Q4 09:00 to Q4 05:00 59–67 to 69–67
  2. +8 Q1 08:00 to Q1 06:00 3–8 to 11–8
  3. +7 Q2 03:00 to Q2 01:00 36–41 to 43–41