6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 3 · Thu, 6 Nov 2008

CSKA Moscow at Real Madrid

58–54Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Felipe Reyes *3010710033−33-60-04-6
Louis Bullock *287210043−113-91-50-0
Raul Lopez *278510024−11-70-26-6
Alex Mumbru *2210220012+23-80-44-4
Jeremiah Massey *172301112+31-30-10-0
Quinton Hosley196302113−40-40-16-6
Sergio Llull185110001+62-51-30-0
Axel Hervelle154202023−32-50-10-0
Lazaros Papadopoulos120200021−80-40-10-0
Pepe Sanchez80220012−30-00-00-0
Venson Hamilton42300000+21-10-00-0
Team20054328521724−416-522-1820-22

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Trajan Langdon *364114011+11-80-42-2
Terence Morris *346931412+43-150-80-0
Zoran Planinic *3113711134+94-83-52-6
Ramunas Siskauskas *2711524011+54-101-52-4
Erazem Lorbek *84101035+71-20-02-4
Aleksey Savrasenko225500025+22-30-01-4
Nikos Zisis216620013−22-40-12-2
Viktor Khryapa219400015−61-51-46-6
Team200583891151326+418-555-2717-28

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 09:00Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+11.9 pp for CSKA Moscow44–38
  2. Q4 06:00Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+9.9 pp for CSKA Moscow48–40
  3. Q4 01:00Free throw, Real Madrid+9.4 pp for Real Madrid54–52
  4. Q4 01:00Free throw, CSKA Moscow+9.4 pp for CSKA Moscow55–52
  5. Q2 01:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.5 pp for Real Madrid23–28

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridCSKA Moscow
Dominance−0.19+0.19
Control3%30%
Drama1.421.42
Comeback95%62%
Crunch1.001.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +4 Q1 08:00 to Q1 07:00 3–2 to 3–6
  2. +4 Q1 05:00 to Q1 03:00 9–6 to 9–10
  3. +4 Q2 08:00 to Q2 07:00 13–13 to 13–17

CSKA Moscow

  1. +9 Q3 09:00 to Q3 07:00 25–30 to 34–30
  2. +6 Q1 07:00 to Q1 05:00 3–6 to 9–6
  3. +5 Q2 07:00 to Q2 05:00 13–17 to 18–17