6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Thu, 2 Apr 2009

Olympiacos Piraeus at Real Madrid

78–75Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Louis Bullock *3219312031+35-183-106-6
Felipe Reyes *28121000045−64-120-04-4
Raul Lopez *284252023−61-40-12-2
Axel Hervelle *195700012−122-60-11-2
Alex Mumbru *123021012−101-31-10-0
Kennedy Winston289612200+54-70-01-2
Jeremiah Massey218411002+93-50-02-2
Sergio Llull133140002+51-41-20-0
Tomas Van Den Spiegel119302004+33-40-03-5
Marko Tomas83001011−61-50-31-1
Team2007536141121222−325-685-1820-24

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Ioannis Bourousis *3725620305+89-110-07-9
Josh Childress *317712010+43-40-11-1
Georgios Printezis *229500004+54-80-11-2
Yotam Halperin *1910120013−104-82-40-0
Milos Teodosic *130020032+80-20-20-0
Theodoros Papaloukas288121031−54-60-10-0
Lynn Greer2212301021+123-101-45-6
Zoran Erceg147410004+41-21-24-4
Panagiotis Vasilopoulos90100121−50-10-10-0
Jannero Pargo40100010−30-30-20-0
Ian Vougioukas20000002−30-00-00-0
Team200782910441323+328-554-1818-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+41.0 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus73–70
  2. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+29.0 pp for Real Madrid68–70
  3. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+16.3 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus68–67
  4. Q4 07:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.5 pp for Real Madrid60–65
  5. Q4 01:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+13.4 pp for Real Madrid77–74

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridOlympiacos Piraeus
Dominance+0.28−0.28
Control68%5%
Drama2.202.20
Comeback83%79%
Crunch2.202.20

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q2 08:00 to Q2 06:00 24–22 to 24–30
  2. +6 Q2 10:00 to Q2 08:00 22–16 to 22–22
  3. +6 Q4 08:00 to Q4 07:00 60–59 to 60–65

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +8 Q1 07:00 to Q1 06:00 6–10 to 14–10
  2. +7 Q4 02:00 to Q4 01:00 68–70 to 75–70
  3. +6 Q4 09:00 to Q4 09:00 54–59 to 60–59