6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Thu, 26 Mar 2009

Real Madrid at Olympiacos Piraeus

73–79Final, away–home

Box score

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Georgios Printezis *3018600023+69-120-10-3
Josh Childress *262511120+121-40-00-0
Nikola Vujcic *2614330014−53-60-18-12
Yotam Halperin *200020004+40-20-10-0
Jannero Pargo *110010003−40-10-10-0
Lynn Greer3021421001+76-123-66-6
Theodoros Papaloukas2412242024+64-72-32-2
Ioannis Bourousis179500113+52-41-14-6
Panagiotis Vasilopoulos153401114−11-31-20-2
Zoran Erceg1010000000-00-00-0
Team20079301353926+626-517-1620-31

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Raul Lopez *324143025+42-60-10-0
Felipe Reyes *3123911015+49-150-05-8
Louis Bullock *2722110023−15-133-109-10
Jeremiah Massey *214501012−141-40-12-2
Kennedy Winston *172301001−121-30-10-0
Alex Mumbru254510011+51-70-22-3
Axel Hervelle206901025+103-50-20-0
Sergio Llull135010012−121-51-32-2
Tomas Van Den Spiegel71000003−130-10-01-2
Marko Tomas62100010−11-10-00-0
Team20073348701127−624-604-2021-27

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+19.1 pp for Real Madrid69–70
  2. Q4 05:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+14.0 pp for Real Madrid66–68
  3. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+12.9 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus69–72
  4. Q4 04:00Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+10.5 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus66–70
  5. Q4 07:00Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+10.5 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus59–66

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartOlympiacos PiraeusReal Madrid
Dominance+0.48−0.48
Control90%0%
Drama1.661.66
Comeback42%99%
Crunch0.880.88

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +7 Q3 07:00 to Q3 05:00 40–43 to 40–50
  2. +5 Q2 02:00 to Q2 02:00 32–31 to 32–36
  3. +5 Q3 10:00 to Q3 08:00 37–38 to 37–43

Real Madrid

  1. +5 Q2 05:00 to Q2 04:00 25–30 to 30–30
  2. +5 Q3 02:00 to Q4 10:00 46–59 to 51–59
  3. +5 Q4 06:00 to Q4 05:00 61–68 to 66–68