6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Tue, 24 Mar 2009

Real Madrid at Olympiacos Piraeus

79–88Final, away–home

Box score

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Vujcic *3019540023+178-91-12-5
Ioannis Bourousis *245611023+32-70-21-2
Josh Childress *198412010+63-61-21-2
Yotam Halperin *145020011−72-21-10-0
Jannero Pargo *112010021−11-40-20-0
Theodoros Papaloukas29132132013+145-82-31-1
Lynn Greer2719010013+126-102-45-5
Georgios Printezis207421011+83-61-10-0
Panagiotis Vasilopoulos198300201+32-32-32-2
Ian Vougioukas30100001−80-10-00-0
Zoran Erceg32000001−21-10-00-3
Team200882525621118+933-5710-1912-20

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Louis Bullock *2715212010−166-103-50-0
Axel Hervelle *269901032+22-72-43-4
Raul Lopez *2411210012+55-91-20-0
Felipe Reyes *2214701043−65-80-04-5
Alex Mumbru *224112032−32-40-20-0
Tomas Van Den Spiegel189200010−33-50-03-4
Kennedy Winston179200003−43-40-03-3
Sergio Llull160211013+20-40-20-0
Jeremiah Massey146311001−112-40-02-2
Pepe Sanchez142121003−111-20-00-0
Marko Tomas0000000000-00-00-0
Team20079317901419−929-576-1515-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 05:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+15.6 pp for Real Madrid71–73
  2. Q4 06:00Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+13.5 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus68–73
  3. Q4 05:00Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+10.9 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus71–75
  4. Q3 04:00Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+10.6 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus57–56
  5. Q4 09:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+10.2 pp for Real Madrid66–63

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartOlympiacos PiraeusReal Madrid
Dominance+0.46−0.46
Control75%0%
Drama1.701.70
Comeback55%100%
Crunch0.540.54

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +7 Q1 09:00 to Q1 09:00 0–0 to 0–7
  2. +7 Q4 09:00 to Q4 08:00 66–63 to 66–70
  3. +7 Q4 05:00 to Q4 03:00 71–73 to 71–80

Real Madrid

  1. +22 Q2 04:00 to Q3 08:00 28–46 to 50–46
  2. +6 Q1 08:00 to Q1 08:00 0–7 to 6–7
  3. +5 Q2 07:00 to Q2 06:00 22–39 to 27–39