6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 12 Mar 2009

ALBA Berlin at Real Madrid

82–83Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Louis Bullock *28713002302-81-42-2
Axel Hervelle *2418112011−47-101-43-3
Raul Lopez *2312140012−33-61-35-5
Kennedy Winston *172520100−21-40-10-1
Felipe Reyes *176311102−23-70-00-0
Sergio Llull225032012+42-61-30-0
Tomas Van Den Spiegel205610002+81-40-03-8
Jeremiah Massey191442000005-72-22-2
Alex Mumbru1812210003+34-62-32-2
Marko Tomas122210100+11-30-10-0
Team20083251953515+129-618-2117-23

ALBA Berlin

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Casey Jacobsen *297320012−32-50-33-3
Immanuel McElroy *294332012+12-30-00-0
Rashad Wright *289230031+73-123-60-2
Ansu Sesay *207610214+13-90-51-1
Adam Chubb *96200114−42-20-02-2
Julius Jenkins3017120012−56-85-50-0
Blagota Sekulic2421801000+129-140-03-3
Dragan Dojcin207421032−52-41-32-2
Aleksandar Nadjfeji74200012−62-40-00-0
Johannes Herber40000002−30-20-00-0
Team200823113431221−131-639-2211-13

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+42.7 pp for Real Madrid82–81
  2. Q4 01:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+24.2 pp for Real Madrid82–83
  3. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+23.1 pp for Real Madrid82–78
  4. Q4 04:00Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+19.5 pp for ALBA Berlin78–73
  5. Q4 04:00Two-point make, ALBA Berlin+15.7 pp for ALBA Berlin80–73

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridALBA Berlin
Dominance+0.50−0.50
Control93%8%
Drama2.192.19
Comeback71%92%
Crunch1.851.85

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q1 06:00 to Q1 02:00 11–6 to 11–15
  2. +9 Q2 08:00 to Q2 05:00 24–19 to 24–28
  3. +8 Q4 02:00 to Q4 01:00 82–75 to 82–83

ALBA Berlin

  1. +10 Q4 05:00 to Q4 04:00 70–73 to 80–73
  2. +9 Q1 08:00 to Q1 06:00 2–6 to 11–6
  3. +8 Q2 10:00 to Q2 09:00 14–17 to 22–17