6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Wed, 4 Mar 2009

Real Madrid at FC Barcelona

79–90Final, away–home

Box score

FC Barcelona

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Juan Carlos Navarro *3016263022+193-82-48-8
Victor Sada *287332034+113-31-10-0
David Andersen *2522410103+29-153-61-2
Lubos Barton *176121000+72-41-31-2
Daniel Santiago *125011124+81-20-03-4
Fran Vazquez2311410304+24-50-03-6
Gianluca Basile2211113032+73-51-34-4
Ersan Ilyasova209500113+103-71-32-2
Jaka Lakovic12314000101-21-20-0
Roger Grimau110000004−110-20-10-0
Team2009021191061127+1129-5310-2322-28

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Louis Bullock *2715340052−163-102-67-7
Tomas Van Den Spiegel *211140102303-40-05-10
Axel Hervelle *20750102302-31-22-2
Kennedy Winston *140320000+80-10-00-0
Raul Lopez *130022021−80-50-10-0
Sergio Llull2211320002−43-83-62-2
Felipe Reyes197310024−192-61-12-2
Jeremiah Massey196501023−92-50-02-3
Alex Mumbru164100023−151-51-11-2
Pepe Sanchez150121002−60-00-00-0
Marko Tomas1318300010+106-83-43-3
Nikola Mirotic20000000+40-10-00-0
Team200793113601823−1122-5611-2124-31

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 09:00Three-point make, FC Barcelona+5.3 pp for FC Barcelona0–3
  2. Q2 05:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.7 pp for Real Madrid31–39
  3. Q1 05:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.3 pp for Real Madrid13–16
  4. Q3 09:00Three-point make, FC Barcelona+4.1 pp for FC Barcelona41–53
  5. Q3 09:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.1 pp for Real Madrid44–53

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Dominance+0.81−0.81
Control100%0%
Drama0.520.52
Comeback26%100%
Crunch0.010.01

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

FC Barcelona

  1. +7 Q3 07:00 to Q3 05:00 47–57 to 47–64
  2. +6 Q1 02:00 to Q1 01:00 17–22 to 17–28
  3. +6 Q3 05:00 to Q3 04:00 49–64 to 49–70

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q4 05:00 to Q4 04:00 62–86 to 70–86
  2. +5 Q1 08:00 to Q1 07:00 2–9 to 7–9
  3. +5 Q2 09:00 to Q2 08:00 21–33 to 26–33