6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 2 · Thu, 30 Oct 2008

Cibona Zagreb at Le Mans

58–54Final, away–home

Box score

Le Mans

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
David Bluthenthal *377314011−33-110-31-2
Brian Chase *337523043−13-90-21-2
Dewarick Spencer *319131022+14-140-51-1
Alain Koffi *275602002+21-30-03-4
Pape Badiane *13340102200-40-03-4
Joao Paulo Batista2821600134+29-130-03-6
Maleye Ndoye160100002−130-10-10-0
Antoine Diot152120011−81-40-10-0
Team200542781111317−421-590-1212-19

Cibona Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Earl Calloway *3719653061+67-130-15-5
Davor Kus *351001012−20-70-41-2
Rawle Marshall *3011701042−63-131-54-4
Luksa Andric *2231011122+11-21-20-0
Jared Homan *120200311−60-10-00-0
Nikola Prkacin2617431032+128-80-01-2
Vedran Vukusic182110024+31-10-00-0
Marin Rozic143300024+81-40-11-1
Robert Troha72100001+41-20-10-0
Team200583410742119+422-512-1412-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:00Two-point make, Le Mans+19.9 pp for Le Mans51–52
  2. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Le Mans+16.9 pp for Le Mans51–50
  3. Q4 01:00Free throw, Cibona Zagreb+16.4 pp for Cibona Zagreb52–52
  4. Q4 01:00Free throw, Cibona Zagreb+14.3 pp for Cibona Zagreb53–52
  5. Q4 01:00Free throw, Cibona Zagreb+13.3 pp for Cibona Zagreb55–52

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartLe MansCibona Zagreb
Dominance−0.24+0.24
Control18%65%
Drama2.542.54
Comeback92%67%
Crunch1.551.55

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Le Mans

  1. +13 Q4 06:00 to Q4 02:00 51–39 to 51–52
  2. +4 Q2 05:00 to Q2 04:00 23–11 to 23–15
  3. +4 Q3 07:00 to Q3 07:00 33–22 to 33–26

Cibona Zagreb

  1. +9 Q1 03:00 to Q2 10:00 3–6 to 12–6
  2. +6 Q2 08:00 to Q2 07:00 15–10 to 21–10
  3. +6 Q4 01:00 to Q4 01:00 51–52 to 57–52