6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 5 Feb 2009

Real Madrid at ALBA Berlin

87–84Final, away–home

Box score

ALBA Berlin

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Immanuel McElroy *3411343011−43-121-64-4
Ansu Sesay *254130024−131-31-21-2
Steffen Hamann *214341001−11-31-21-2
Casey Jacobsen *196001011−52-52-40-0
Adam Chubb *1812200015−14-40-04-5
Julius Jenkins2721441022+37-122-35-5
Aleksandar Nadjfeji191661110508-90-00-0
Rashad Wright1910121002−22-30-16-12
Dragan Dojcin180211025+90-00-00-0
Phillip Zwiener00000000−10-00-00-0
Team20084221991926−328-517-1821-30

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Louis Bullock *3319510023+157-143-62-2
Sergio Llull *3311241024+84-81-42-3
Alex Mumbru *3012421013+134-70-34-4
Axel Hervelle *158600002+92-41-33-3
Tomas Van Den Spiegel *155400111−32-30-01-2
Felipe Reyes31181120025−16-130-06-7
Jeremiah Massey197100012+12-40-13-4
Quinton Hosley105200011−101-31-22-2
Marko Tomas72100001−81-50-10-0
Pepe Sanchez60000012−90-00-00-0
Team20087369211124+329-616-2023-27

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+29.0 pp for Real Madrid81–81
  2. Q4 01:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+27.6 pp for Real Madrid85–83
  3. Q4 02:00Two-point make, ALBA Berlin+18.7 pp for ALBA Berlin81–83
  4. Q4 02:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+18.7 pp for Real Madrid83–83
  5. Q4 03:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+11.3 pp for Real Madrid77–81

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartALBA BerlinReal Madrid
Dominance+0.34−0.34
Control68%5%
Drama2.252.25
Comeback91%89%
Crunch1.521.52

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

ALBA Berlin

  1. +13 Q2 09:00 to Q2 06:00 22–26 to 22–39
  2. +7 Q3 01:00 to Q4 08:00 65–70 to 65–77
  3. +5 Q1 04:00 to Q1 04:00 14–13 to 14–18

Real Madrid

  1. +10 Q4 05:00 to Q4 02:00 71–81 to 81–81
  2. +7 Q3 04:00 to Q3 03:00 50–64 to 57–64
  3. +6 Q4 02:00 to Q4 01:00 81–83 to 87–83