6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Wed, 28 Jan 2009

FC Barcelona at Real Madrid

83–85Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jeremiah Massey *326502012−53-60-00-0
Louis Bullock *3118021025+25-102-46-6
Felipe Reyes *2515612044−15-90-05-5
Quinton Hosley *152300010−91-30-10-0
Raul Lopez *158221032−43-70-22-2
Sergio Llull2718233102+67-102-32-2
Marko Tomas186223023+81-20-14-5
Tomas Van Den Spiegel172210001+31-20-00-2
Alex Mumbru135001022+52-31-10-0
Axel Hervelle75100024+51-21-12-2
Team2008523111311725+229-546-1321-24

FC Barcelona

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Juan Carlos Navarro *3021544041−25-132-49-10
Gianluca Basile *259140024+33-42-21-2
Jaka Lakovic *197122011+52-51-42-2
Ersan Ilyasova *175501022+91-51-42-2
Daniel Santiago *136301013+33-30-00-2
David Andersen287311122−111-81-34-4
Fran Vazquez2216500203−58-80-00-1
Victor Sada212140033−70-40-22-2
Lubos Barton145210000−52-31-20-0
Roger Grimau11500001301-10-03-4
Team200832616931622−226-548-2123-29

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+28.9 pp for Real Madrid78–78
  2. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+28.0 pp for Real Madrid78–81
  3. Q4 01:00Two-point make, FC Barcelona+23.7 pp for FC Barcelona80–81
  4. Q4 03:00Two-point make, FC Barcelona+15.8 pp for FC Barcelona78–75
  5. Q4 01:00Free throw, Real Madrid+14.0 pp for Real Madrid80–82

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridFC Barcelona
Dominance−0.20+0.20
Control8%65%
Drama2.382.38
Comeback84%78%
Crunch2.172.17

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q4 08:00 to Q4 06:00 72–62 to 72–71
  2. +7 Q3 06:00 to Q3 05:00 55–46 to 55–53
  3. +6 Q2 04:00 to Q2 03:00 41–32 to 41–38

FC Barcelona

  1. +9 Q1 06:00 to Q1 05:00 8–5 to 17–5
  2. +6 Q1 08:00 to Q1 07:00 2–2 to 8–2
  3. +6 Q3 01:00 to Q4 10:00 61–59 to 67–59