6.75

2008-09 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 9 · Thu, 8 Jan 2009

Real Madrid at Armani Olimpia Milan

61–70Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Michael Hall *320421022+40-30-10-0
David Hawkins *2713541052−23-101-36-6
Luca Vitali *221012043−10-30-31-2
Jobey Thomas *17700101002-71-32-2
Pape Sow *142302015+21-40-00-1
Mason Rocca2614412002+74-50-06-9
Marco Mordente2223301033+86-75-66-8
Mindaugas Katelynas174410004+132-30-00-0
Yohann Sangare176300020+92-52-40-0
Massimo Bulleri50010000+50-10-10-0
Team2007026101001821+920-489-2121-28

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jeremiah Massey *23770002302-50-13-6
Marko Tomas *222200012−150-40-32-2
Pepe Sanchez *170210032−140-10-00-0
Alex Mumbru *173100000−171-51-20-0
Tomas Van Den Spiegel *109501022+34-40-01-2
Felipe Reyes288411034−64-60-00-0
Louis Bullock2410122003+34-112-70-0
Raul Lopez237211031+53-91-30-1
Venson Hamilton162200003−60-30-02-2
Quinton Hosley1513511012+114-91-34-8
Sergio Llull50000001−90-00-00-0
Team20061316601523−922-575-1912-21

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+21.3 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan58–63
  2. Q4 06:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.7 pp for Real Madrid56–58
  3. Q4 10:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+12.9 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan53–54
  4. Q4 04:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+12.2 pp for Real Madrid58–60
  5. Q4 05:00Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.6 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan56–60

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanReal Madrid
Dominance−0.39+0.39
Control3%78%
Drama2.242.24
Comeback97%100%
Crunch0.590.59

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +12 Q3 01:00 to Q4 06:00 53–46 to 53–58
  2. +6 Q2 04:00 to Q2 04:00 28–21 to 28–27
  3. +6 Q4 03:00 to Q4 01:00 58–60 to 58–66

Real Madrid

  1. +13 Q1 03:00 to Q2 10:00 9–13 to 22–13
  2. +7 Q3 08:00 to Q3 07:00 34–32 to 41–32
  3. +4 Q3 09:00 to Q3 09:00 30–29 to 34–29