6.75

2007-08 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 2 · Thu, 1 Nov 2007

Lottomatica Roma at Real Madrid

83–89Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Alex Mumbru *3117631134+65-81-36-6
Charles Smith *2823500011+149-183-92-2
Axel Hervelle *2810921012+144-60-22-2
Raul Lopez *2811076001+23-73-62-2
Lazaros Papadopoulos *2711421023+105-60-01-2
Felipe Reyes187600023−83-90-01-7
Kerem Tunceri185110002−21-21-22-2
Sergio Llull124010101+41-30-02-3
Blagota Sekulic41000011−60-00-01-2
Michalis Pelekanos40000000−40-20-10-0
Team200893116921018+631-618-2319-28

Lottomatica Roma

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Roko-Leni Ukic *3219180043−67-103-42-2
Erazem Lorbek *2924611112+610-132-22-4
David Hawkins *279211023−13-92-71-1
Allan Ray *200120024−80-30-30-0
Roberto Gabini *195100013−232-61-30-0
Gregor Fucka254340125+22-30-00-3
Jon Stefansson2314000004−85-72-32-2
Jacopo Giachetti188321002+53-50-02-2
Alessandro Tonolli80100011+30-10-10-0
Team200831818321327−632-5710-239-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+27.2 pp for Real Madrid81–84
  2. Q4 02:00Two-point make, Lottomatica Roma+17.8 pp for Lottomatica Roma81–81
  3. Q4 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.0 pp for Real Madrid75–81
  4. Q3 02:00Three-point make, Lottomatica Roma+12.1 pp for Lottomatica Roma62–62
  5. Q4 04:00Two-point make, Lottomatica Roma+9.8 pp for Lottomatica Roma75–78

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridLottomatica Roma
Dominance+0.60−0.60
Control98%0%
Drama1.981.98
Comeback44%100%
Crunch1.031.03

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q3 01:00 to Q4 09:00 64–64 to 64–73
  2. +8 Q1 06:00 to Q1 05:00 7–12 to 7–20
  3. +6 Q1 08:00 to Q1 08:00 2–2 to 2–8

Lottomatica Roma

  1. +8 Q2 07:00 to Q2 05:00 24–35 to 32–35
  2. +8 Q3 06:00 to Q3 05:00 44–53 to 52–53
  3. +6 Q4 06:00 to Q4 04:00 69–78 to 75–78