6.75

2007-08 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 21 Feb 2008

Olympiacos Piraeus at Real Madrid

70–80Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Alex Mumbru *2516400003+164-62-26-7
Louis Bullock *2514131043+153-63-55-5
Blagota Sekulic *206500001−12-40-02-5
Kerem Tunceri *189200000+143-93-80-0
Axel Hervelle *180320002+150-30-20-0
Felipe Reyes268313135+24-90-00-0
Raul Lopez224421034−21-41-41-2
Charles Smith2113330102−14-83-62-2
Michalis Pelekanos137011011−83-41-20-0
Iker Iturbe103100001+11-31-20-0
Sergio Llull30000001−10-10-10-0
Team200802612621123+1025-5714-3216-21

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Qyntel Woods *3211331023−125-81-30-0
Lynn Greer *2915232032−64-81-46-8
Milos Teodosic *275322013−182-61-30-0
Marc Jackson *2611300022−93-50-05-8
Panagiotis Vasilopoulos *2610311114−134-91-51-1
Loukas Mavrokefalides219310004+64-50-01-2
Roderick Blakney203041011+31-50-21-2
Jake Tsakalidis86400011−42-30-02-2
Renaldas Seibutis60111000+20-10-10-0
Georgios Printezis50100002+10-10-00-0
Team200702315811122−1025-514-1816-23

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 10:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.2 pp for Real Madrid0–3
  2. Q2 01:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.1 pp for Real Madrid35–45
  3. Q3 07:00Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+5.1 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus40–47
  4. Q3 07:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+5.1 pp for Real Madrid40–49
  5. Q1 08:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.7 pp for Real Madrid0–9

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridOlympiacos Piraeus
Dominance+0.82−0.82
Control100%0%
Drama0.830.83
Comeback21%100%
Crunch0.170.17

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q1 10:00 to Q1 08:00 0–0 to 0–9
  2. +6 Q1 08:00 to Q1 06:00 2–9 to 2–15
  3. +6 Q3 06:00 to Q3 05:00 43–52 to 43–58

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +8 Q2 04:00 to Q2 03:00 25–38 to 33–38
  2. +7 Q3 02:00 to Q4 08:00 48–62 to 55–62
  3. +6 Q4 06:00 to Q4 05:00 59–71 to 65–71