6.75

2007-08 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 14 Feb 2008

Zalgiris Kaunas at Real Madrid

85–88Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Felipe Reyes *3517721035+84-100-09-12
Louis Bullock *2917132022−46-103-52-2
Alex Mumbru *2411412014−43-30-05-7
Raul Lopez *218354004+53-70-32-2
Iker Iturbe *196310011+22-22-20-0
Kerem Tunceri229121020+33-42-21-2
Charles Smith1915310110+145-113-82-2
Axel Hervelle195611022−32-61-20-0
Michalis Pelekanos70000102−40-20-10-0
Sergio Llull3000000000-00-00-0
Blagota Sekulic20100000−20-20-00-0
Team2008829161121220+328-5711-2321-27

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marcus Brown *3514321023−74-84-72-2
Dejuan Collins *3111193031−21-61-38-8
Jonas Maciulis *2121510035−77-103-54-4
Paulius Jankunas *197110013−13-41-20-0
Eurelijus Zukauskas *120012011−150-10-00-0
Marko Popovic2612042023+114-64-60-0
Mamadou N'Diaye2514411024+125-80-04-10
Goran Jurak13530001301-31-32-2
Mantas Kalnietis101100001−30-20-01-2
Damir Markota70011010−50-10-10-0
Dainius Salenga20100000+20-10-10-0
Team2008519201001624−325-5014-2821-28

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+19.0 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas85–86
  2. Q3 04:00Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+11.6 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas59–52
  3. Q3 03:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.6 pp for Real Madrid59–55
  4. Q4 01:00Free throw, Real Madrid+10.3 pp for Real Madrid85–87
  5. Q4 10:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.6 pp for Real Madrid59–62

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.55−0.55
Control88%0%
Drama2.082.08
Comeback56%98%
Crunch0.820.82

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +18 Q3 03:00 to Q4 08:00 59–52 to 59–70
  2. +12 Q1 09:00 to Q1 07:00 6–0 to 6–12
  3. +7 Q2 06:00 to Q2 05:00 29–26 to 29–33

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +9 Q2 07:00 to Q2 06:00 20–26 to 29–26
  2. +9 Q3 08:00 to Q3 07:00 45–48 to 54–48
  3. +8 Q2 01:00 to Q3 10:00 36–43 to 44–43