6.75

2007-08 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 11 · Thu, 10 Jan 2008

Zalgiris Kaunas at Union Olimpija Ljubljana

83–74Final, away–home

Box score

Union Olimpija Ljubljana

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marko Milic *3313812033−15-150-03-4
Maurice Bailey *3315134043−65-111-24-4
Boris Gorenc *269420012−83-90-43-3
Jasmin Hukic *2610720034−164-92-50-0
Mirza Begic *100210104−50-10-00-0
Ronell Taylor261320202105-91-22-2
Goran Dragic196200045−183-50-00-2
Miha Zupan168501034+153-80-12-2
Hasan Rizvic70411000−70-20-00-0
Jan Mocnik40010002+10-00-00-0
Team2007435111012028−928-694-1414-17

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Dejuan Collins *378642022+52-130-54-6
Jonas Maciulis *3614403022+96-121-41-4
Marcus Brown *3322223021+127-123-85-7
Goran Jurak *28131012014+85-92-51-2
Eurelijus Zukauskas *188610114+33-30-02-7
Marko Popovic1912120050+23-71-55-6
Dainius Salenga180200000+110-00-00-0
Paulius Jankunas106100025−52-30-02-2
Team2008332101011518+928-597-2720-34

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 01:00Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+10.5 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas49–42
  2. Q3 01:00Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+10.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas46–42
  3. Q4 10:00Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+9.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas52–42
  4. Q3 05:00Two-point make, Union Olimpija Ljubljana+7.9 pp for Union Olimpija Ljubljana38–42
  5. Q3 04:00Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+7.9 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas40–42

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartUnion Olimpija LjubljanaZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance−0.33+0.33
Control3%58%
Drama1.791.79
Comeback100%63%
Crunch0.240.24

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Union Olimpija Ljubljana

  1. +10 Q4 03:00 to Q4 02:00 76–60 to 76–70
  2. +8 Q2 10:00 to Q2 08:00 18–9 to 18–17
  3. +8 Q3 08:00 to Q3 06:00 37–32 to 37–40

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +16 Q3 04:00 to Q4 10:00 38–42 to 54–42
  2. +9 Q1 03:00 to Q1 01:00 9–9 to 18–9
  3. +6 Q4 08:00 to Q4 07:00 58–49 to 64–49