6.75

2007-08 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 9 · Thu, 20 Dec 2007

Real Madrid at Lottomatica Roma

64–69Final, away–home

Box score

Lottomatica Roma

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Erazem Lorbek *3117802231−66-70-05-8
Allan Ray *308531042+42-92-72-2
Roberto Gabini *2717514004+77-142-51-2
David Hawkins *263431000−61-30-01-2
Jacopo Giachetti *184001011−41-40-12-2
Jon Stefansson248221013+143-41-21-2
Roko-Leni Ukic228300014+93-70-32-2
Gregor Fucka214210211+72-30-00-0
Team2006929101041116+525-515-1814-20

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Axel Hervelle *285722112+72-31-20-0
Kerem Tunceri *2610411000+84-92-70-0
Charles Smith *2410313003+93-82-52-2
Alex Mumbru *2110300134−24-62-40-0
Lazaros Papadopoulos *114030014+11-20-02-2
Louis Bullock3111322011−164-122-61-3
Felipe Reyes2610501022−163-80-04-5
Raul Lopez162100021−171-20-10-0
Blagota Sekulic102101011+11-10-00-0
Michalis Pelekanos60001011−20-10-00-0
Team200642791121219−523-529-259-12

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Lottomatica Roma+41.5 pp for Lottomatica Roma63–65
  2. Q4 02:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+27.2 pp for Real Madrid61–62
  3. Q4 03:00Three-point make, Lottomatica Roma+22.3 pp for Lottomatica Roma58–62
  4. Q4 01:00Free throw, Real Madrid+14.0 pp for Real Madrid64–65
  5. Q4 01:00Free throw, Lottomatica Roma+14.0 pp for Lottomatica Roma64–66

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartLottomatica RomaReal Madrid
Dominance+0.11−0.11
Control38%15%
Drama2.922.92
Comeback75%97%
Crunch1.741.74

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Lottomatica Roma

  1. +12 Q1 05:00 to Q2 10:00 19–9 to 19–21
  2. +9 Q4 09:00 to Q4 07:00 56–49 to 56–58
  3. +7 Q2 07:00 to Q2 05:00 23–21 to 23–28

Real Madrid

  1. +11 Q3 04:00 to Q3 02:00 39–46 to 50–46
  2. +10 Q1 10:00 to Q1 08:00 0–2 to 10–2
  3. +6 Q1 07:00 to Q1 06:00 10–6 to 16–6